Americans will spend if they want to | Airbnb never wants to see an office again |

Hi Reader, here's what you need to know for February 17th in 3:05 minutes.

🔨 They say a worker’s only as good as their tools, and we reckon that holds up when it comes to investing too. So join StoryTrading founder Ben Rabizadeh for How To Pick A Stock Market Winner on Tuesday, and add some shiny new stock-picking strategies to your toolkit. Get your free ticket

Today's big stories

  1. US retail sales hit a 10-month high in January
  2. JPMorgan thinks bitcoin should only be worth $38,000, but the investment bank’s missed something important – Read Now
  3. Airbnb reported better-than-expected quarterly results as travelers get going again

Do Not Disturb

Do Not Disturb

What’s Going On Here?

Data out on Wednesday showed that US retail sales rose by the most in 10 months in January, even as one big nuisance keeps pestering the country’s shoppers.

What Does This Mean?

Inflation or no inflation, retail sales in the country were 3.8% higher last month than the month before – well up on the 2% that economists were expecting, and a long way from December’s 2.5% drop. Americans seem to have stuck to their online shopping habits, with so-called “nonstore retailers” posting a 15% gain. But they seemed keen on furniture and cars too, whose sales were up around 7% and 6% respectively. And while it’s true that restaurant and bar sales fell almost 1%, that shouldn’t worry anyone too much: there are only so many cocktail nights you can have when record Covid cases cause a new batch of restrictions, after all…

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: This might not last long.
Shoppers might already be getting buyers’ remorse: data out last week showed US consumer sentiment – a measure of how the public feels about their finances and the wider economy – is now at its lowest in over a decade. That stands to reason: more and more companies are raising their prices to balance out their own higher costs, while the US government is bringing its support packages to an end – both of which will limit how far the average shopper’s money will go.

Zooming out: Turn off your screens.
This online shopping boom has worked out well for Shopify: the ecommerce platform reported on Wednesday that it processed 32% more in sales last quarter than the same time in 2020, helping boost total quarterly revenue by a better-than-expected 41%. That pushed its revenue for last year up 57%, but it’s not feeling so good about this one: it’s expecting shoppers to keep swapping screens for stores as the pandemic continues to fade.

Copy to share story: https://www.finimize.com/wp/news/do-not-disturb/

🙋 Ask a question

Analyst Take

How To Value Bitcoin More Accurately Than JPMorgan

How To Value Bitcoin More Accurately Than JPMorgan
Photo of Reda

Reda, Analyst

What’s Going On Here?

Last week, JPMorgan sent out a research report that puts the fair value of bitcoin at $38,000.

That’s a long way short of the $44,000 it’s at today, but let’s not get too in the weeds about the figure itself.

What I’m more interested in is the framework the investment bank used.

Because even if you tweak JPMorgan’s framework to fit your own assumptions, you’re still arguably bound to arrive at a skewed valuation of the cryptocurrency.

After all, for everything the framework gets right, it also misses a couple of key considerations.

So that’s today’s Insight: how JPMorgan’s framework works, and how you can do better.

Read or listen to the Insight here

SPONSORED BY THE MOTLEY FOOL

Get 60% off The Motley Fool’s stock picks

Picking stock market winners is easier said than done.

There’s a knack to it, and it’s one the experts at The Motley Fool have down to a fine art.

That’s why the team would like to offer new members 60% off The Motley Fool Stock Advisor – a dedicated resource that’ll give you a heads-up about stocks that could be set to take off.

After all, The Motley Fool recommended buying Netflix and Amazon back in the day, and taking their advice could’ve made you a pretty penny.

The Motley Fool’s picks have more than quadrupled the stock market’s return over the last decade, and there are plenty more yet to come.

So get in while the going’s good: get 60% off The Motley Fool.

Get 60% Off

*Based on $199/year list price. Introductory promotion for new members only.

Stay-Away-Cation

Stay-Away-Cation

What’s Going On Here?

Airbnb reported better-than-expected quarterly results earlier this week, as travelers try to make this whole downtime thing last as long as they possibly can.

What Does This Mean?

The world’s working from anywhere but home right now, and it’s doing wonders for Airbnb: the company logged 16% more 28 night-or-longer bookings last quarter than the same time in 2019, as nomadic workers extend their stays for weeks at a time. And they’re living in style, flocking to more expensive locations and forking out on average 20% more a day.

That helped Airbnb make $55 million in profit last quarter – a welcome turnaround from its $3.9 billion loss the same time in 2020. And since the company reckons bookings will reach pre-pandemic levels again soon, it gave a much better-than-expected revenue outlook for this quarter – prompting investors to send its shares up 4%.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: More hosts, please.
Still, all those travelers need somewhere to stay, and Airbnb’s been struggling to sign up new hosts even as pandemic restrictions relax. In fact, there were only 7% more active listings last quarter than the same time in 2020 – particularly measly given a 59% uptick in overall bookings over the same period. But that might change soon: Airbnb reckons high inflation – which is forcing some households to earn extra money any way they can – will turn even more homeowners into hosts.

The bigger picture: Travel’s back.
The travel bug is working in Expedia’s favor too: the online travel agent also posted strong quarterly results last week, as its Vrbo booking platform helped it more than double its revenue last quarter. Those results – along with Airbnb’s – suggest the travel industry is bouncing back after two years of disruptions. And so does this: a recent survey shows that around 70% of vacationers in countries like the US, UK, and Japan plan to spend more on travel this year than they have in the past five years (tweet this).

You might also like: What’s Airbnb really worth?

Copy to share story: https://www.finimize.com/wp/news/stay-away-cation/

🙋 Ask a question

💬 Quote of the day

“When I’m hungry, I eat. When I’m thirsty, I drink. When I feel like saying something, I say it.”

– Madonna (an American singer-songwriter and actress)
Tweet this

SPONSORED BY FACET WEALTH

Financial planning for all that you are

Any “financial planner” can dish out some standardized investing and saving advice.

But it takes a special kind of financial planner to give personalized advice on everything from choosing work benefits to starting your own business.

Facet Wealth provides you with a CFPⓇ professional – the highest possible certification – to work with you one on one. And since they’re held to fiduciary standards, your best interests always come first.

No hidden fees, no agenda. Facet doesn’t even charge based on how much you invest with them.

It’s financial planning as it should be: find out how Facet can help you transform the way you live.

Get Started

Facet Wealth is an SEC Registered Investment Advisor headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland. This is not an offer to sell securities or the solicitation of an offer to purchase securities. This is not investment, financial, legal, or tax advice.

When you support our sponsors, you support us. Thanks for that.

🎯 On Our Radar

  1. A robot dog stuck in the trash. That’s exactly how Meta sees you.
  2. The #1 wealth generation secret of millionaires. The ultra-wealthy have earned millions in passive income investing in franchises, and now you can too with FranShares.*
  3. Bring on summer. No need to wait when we can change the weather on demand.
  4. Is this Ethereum’s true rival? Solana is leading the crypto 4.0 revolution, and you can buy in with Dacxi.*
  5. Surfing the 🌍↔🕸 just got a lot harder. We’re ready to replace the alphabet with emojis, apparently.

When you support our sponsors, you support us. Thanks for that.

🌎 Finimize Live

🔥 Your next hot date

The right investment can look a lot like the right romantic partner: reliable, attractive, and eager to provide. Thing is, finding the best investments is like finding the good dates: hard. So come along to How To Pick A Stock Market Winner to find out how to make it a whole lot easier. Just leave the rose petals at home this time.

🔥 Getting The Most Out Of Your Investing Strategy: 5pm UK time, February 17th
🎉 How To Pick A Stock Market Winner: 6pm UK time, February 22nd
🎨 Getting Started With NFTs: 5pm UK time, February 23rd
💪 Getting To Grips With ESG Investing: 6pm UK time, February 24th
🏡 Your Guide To Opportunity Zones: 5pm UK time, February 25th
🙌 Setting Your Crypto Strategy Up For Wealth Creation: 6pm UK time, 28th February
🎨 How NFTs Are Resculpting The Art Industry: 5pm UK time, March 1st
🖼 How To Diversify Your Portfolio With NFTs: 5pm UK time, March 2nd
👩‍⚖️ How Regulation Could Impact Your Crypto: 6pm UK time, March 3rd
🌟 How To Pick A Metaverse Winner: 7pm UK time, March 4th
🚀 Everything You Need To Know About The Metaverse: 6pm UK time, March 8th
🧐 How To Value NFTs: 5pm UK time, March 9th
🥊 The Art Of Beating The Market: 6pm UK time, March 14th
🍀 How To Analyze Sustainable ETFs: 6pm UK time, March 15th
👩‍🎨 NFT Investing Strategies Tailored To You: 5pm UK Time, March 16th
🌿 How To Pick The Best ESG Stocks: 6pm UK time, March 28th

❤️ Share with a friendYour Referrals: 0

Thanks for reading Reader. If you liked today's brief, we'd love for you to share it with a friend. If they sign up on your unique link, you’ll earn some sweet swag.

Share your unique link:

https://finimize.com/invite/?kid=177ZWC

You stay classy, Reader 😉

We’d love to hear your thoughts. Give feedback

Want to advertise with us too? Get in touch

Image Credits:

Image credits: SpicyTruffel - shutterstock | YummyBuum and Patty Chan - shutterstock

Preferences:

Update your email or change preferences

View in browser

Unsubscribe from all Finimize Emails

😴

Crafted by Finimize Ltd. | Bow Bells House, Bread Street, London, EC4M 9HH

All content provided by Finimize Ltd. is for informational and educational purposes only and is not meant to represent trade or investment recommendations. You signed up to this mailing list at finimize.com or through one of our partners. © Finimize 2021

View Online