Wake Up And Smell The Coffee

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What's going on?

Nestl reported results on Thursday, showing that troubles been brewing for the firm.

What does this mean?

Nestl tried to shore up profit with its boldest price hikes in years last quarter but with cost-conscious buyers ditching name-brand products for cheaper alternatives, that didnt have its Nescaf coffee and Maggi noodles selling like hotcakes. In fact, the worlds biggest food group saw the volume of goods it sold drop for the second-straight quarter. And looking at the whole year, things werent much better either: the volume of goods sold grew just 0.1% while organic sales grew 8.3% meaning it was the firms 8.2% price hikes that did most of the money-making legwork. But even those higher prices werent enough to offset Nestls increased ingredient and shipping costs, which cut profit margins to their skinniest levels in four years and left annual profit well below expectations.

Why should I care?

Zooming in: Slipping staples.
Nestl isn’t the only consumer staples giant experiencing the crunch of lower sales volumes PepsiCo, Unilever, and more are all in the same boat. But Nestl’s especially sour second half of 2022, with its first drop in volumes since 1999, drives home that even the strength of trusty old consumer staples is being pushed to the limit right now. If that trend continues, companies that raise prices even higher as Nestl plans to might just push shoppers away and really torpedo their sales volumes.

The bigger picture: Waitrose Wait-lowered.
Nestls results serve as a troubling reminder that price hikes aren’t going to disappear just because the West seems to have passed peak inflation. But there was one ray of hope this week: British supermarket chain Waitrose announced that its slashing the price of its own-brand products by a record amount, in a brazen attempt to fend off discount rivals like Aldi and Lidl.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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