Into Overdrive

Image source: hxdyl - Shutterstock

What's going on?

On Friday the International Monetary Fund (IMF) called on the Chinese government to pull out all the stops, in a bid to get the economy growing at warp speed.

What does this mean?

Chinas recovery is set to give the world a much-needed shot in the arm this year, with the IMF predicting the countrys economy will grow 5.2%, after a paltry 3% in 2022. But the organization reckons Chinas got even more in the tank, and needs to shake things up a little to really thrive over the long term. That includes leveling the playing field between state-owned and private businesses a thorny point thats kept lots of foreign firms out of China and boosting the nations consumption in all kinds of ways: like reducing social security contributions, supporting households that have been worst hit by Covid-19, and lowering interest rates to encourage spending. And as far as the property sector is concerned, the IMF simply wants China to splash the cash: namely by fast-tracking unfinished housing projects and giving struggling developers a helping hand.

Why should I care?

For markets: Castles in the air.
The IMFs suggestions are all well and good, but whether they actually happen, or even work practically, is another story altogether. Take the notion of cutting interest rates, for example: Chinas rates are already well below Western countries, so any additional big cuts could have investors ditching the currency and tanking its value. And with Russia offloading bucketloads of yuan to beef up its own falling revenues, any further hits to the currency wouldnt be good news for the worlds biggest importer of energy.

Zooming out: Floating on cloud nine.
China’s already made one impressive reform: the countrys simplifying and speeding up the process that lets companies go public, something that should allow smaller firms to tap into investor demand a whole lot more easily. Even Goldman Sachs reckons its a savvy move, one that brings China a step closer to standard international practices and could boost interest from global investors.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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