Inflation Enters Japan’s Vocab

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What's going on?

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) stunned markets on Tuesday after switching up its deep-rooted deflation-fighting policies.

What does this mean?

Inflation could be most of the globes word of the year, but Japans been focusing on the exact opposite for decades now: deflation yup, falling prices. That might sound like the dream these days, but believe it or not its actually a bigger problem than inflation. Its such a problem that Japan brought in an interest rate control policy back in 2016, allowing the countrys government to load up on cheap debt and keep spending to stimulate the economy. The BoJ seemed to stick to those guns just last week, saying it would be premature to shake up those policies without evidence of inflation-fueling wage growth. So it was pretty shocking when the bank announced that its now lifting its interest rate cap, signaling that it could be more concerned about inflation than deflation. No wonder stunned financial markets sent the Japanese yen skyrocketing against the US dollar after the news.

Why should I care?

For markets: Americas watching.
The carry trade is a common tactic that involves borrowing in Japan at cheap rates, changing that borrowed yen into dollars, investing the dollars into US government bonds with higher rates, and pocketing the difference. That makes traders a quick buck, but it hurts the yen against the US dollar. Now the yens on the rise, though, carry traders might throw their strategy into reverse giving Japans currency another leg up. Now, that could really tempt any US investors with wandering eyes

Zooming out: We cant afford this.
Japans built up a Mount Fuji-sized pile of debt over the years, and with IOUs totalling nearly 250% of the economy, its the most indebted country in the world (tweet this). So lets be real, the BoJs unlikely to start jacking up rates at the same pace of its American central bank counterpart anytime soon.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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